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Are Ultra Low Interest Rates Here To Stay?

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Are Ultra Low Interest Rates Here To Stay?

Central bank bond buying is one of the reasons the latest U.S. Treasury yields were reported with such a steep decline. 

This sharp drop shows the cost of two deciding factors that have shaped the lead up to this occurrence:

  • The cost of the country’s economic selections over the years
  • The result of political choices made over time.

The chart below tells its interesting story of the incredible highs and lows the U.S. Treasury yields have displayed for decades. 

And the steepest possible decline has recently been reached. 

The predictions for any increase shortly look slim to none. 

If it were to go any lower, it would disappear under the baseline.

Low-interest-rates

So it is safe to say that the all-time low-interest rates are here for a protracted period.

As previously mentioned, the nearest reason for the plunge is central-bank bond buying. 

Treasury notes are always seen as a particularly safe asset, but they usually fall in price when risk sentiment rises.

As the ripples of unquiet calmed over Britain’s shock Brexit vote, European stocks and following on, U.S. equity futures, rose. 

This caused a decline in Treasury notes. 

Not enough to show a marked return to normalcy, though.

Viewing the chart below, the link to S & P 500 dividend yields and Treasury yields show a mirror pattern.  

This link in yields continues today. 

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Central bankers are not to be the ones solely singled out for the all-time low of 1.366% that was reported. 

The plummeting rates represent the steady increase and ultimate cost of two factors:

  • Hyper dependence on debt-financed growth
  • Gradually increasing regulations

These culprits listed above, are the primary drivers of the crashing interest rates. 

Indications of these being the key reasons are in evidence just under the surface gloss of the record bond prices and stocks showing on current charts.

Borrowing, especially for companies, has been happening at great rapidity, propelled by the lower than low-interest rates. 

But capital investment is in the doldrums and share buybacks are widespread.

This is an unwelcome throwback to the financial practices that were supposed to have been refuted. 

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U.S. banks were to have been forever shored up by the Dodd-Frank do-over, even though it led to tighter credit regulations that held back recovery.

The business formation has declined in the last few years which caused job growth to lessen. 

The economy, according to analysts, may seem more stable and unexciting, but this may not necessarily be a good thing.

Exacerbating the problem is the ever encroaching debt accumulation. 

When the financial collapse occurred, it was meant to be a warning and an era of deleveraging should have led to a more balanced world economy.

The warning seems not to have had much resonance, as global debts are now higher than they were in 2007.

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The increase in debt has been most marked in developing countries with higher aspirational lifestyles, like China. 

Grave concerns continue to be voiced over the value of the Chinese yuan as the doubtful transparency of that country’s government.

Even though considerable deleveraging has occurred in U.S. both banking and household sectors, total debt has still risen to hit 251% of GDP in 2015 an increase from the 228% level in 2007.

With such easy access to continual borrowing on credit, the U.S. is mortgaging its future profits up to the hilt. 

U.S. economic performance will falter as a result. 

Even when adjusted for inflation, the U.S. median income per household has fallen 7%, and the use of food stamps has nearly doubled to over 43 million people.

In this climate of economic and political fluctuation, low-volatility stock portfolios display steadfast gains as Wall Street holds on to its sentiment of risk aversion and slow growth. 

Trades are becoming crowded, and returns are low, showing that caution is a by-word in the markets.

In the wake of the tech bubble in 1999 at least high-value tech companies survived the highs and lows. 

When buying into to desirable minimum-volatility (mini volts) portfolios now, however, it inflates the price in the search a safe bet, and this masks the markets ability to read an actual winning stock.

This has formed a potential minivolt bubble.

 

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Las Vegas Sands Once Again Recognized as World Leader for Climate Change

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Las Vegas Sands Once Again Recognized as World Leader for Climate Change
Image via Shutterstock

Las Vegas Sands has again been recognized by CDP, the international nonprofit environmental disclosure platform, on the Climate Change A List. This is the company’s fifth year in a row to attain a leadership position for Climate Change, a distinction shared by only 2% of disclosing companies.

“The CDP provides a comprehensive framework that continues to inspire us to become leaders in our industry and provide guidance for strategic direction,” Katarina Tesarova, senior vice president of global sustainability at Las Vegas Sands, said. “Among the thousands of companies that were scored this year, Sands is one of a very small number from around the world to make the A List. We’re proud to be recognized, and we will continue to work towards additional reduction of our environmental impact.”

Through Sands ECO360, the company’s award-winning global sustainability program, Sands has reached several environmental milestones, all contributing to its placement on the Climate A List. The iconic ArtScience Museum at Marina Bay Sands in Singapore is the first Asia-Pacific region museum to achieve LEED (Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design) certification, and The Parisian Macao achieved LEED Silver certification for newly constructed buildings – the first building in Macao to receive this distinction. Additionally, the implementation of 38 energy-efficient ECOTracker projects are expected save more than 48 million kilowatt hours of electricity every year, through LED lighting upgrades, energy savings campaigns focused on consuming less electricity and more.

Sands has participated in the CDP environmental disclosure platform since 2012, starting first with reporting on climate change initiatives. Achievement of the Climate Change A List highlights the company’s work towards cutting emissions, mitigating climate risks and building integrated resorts responsibly.

The company has also retained its leadership in corporate sustainability with its most recent recognitions on the Dow Jones Sustainability Indices (DJSI) and America’s Best Employers by Forbes.

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Dow Jones Industrial Average Breaks 29,000 For The First Time in History

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Screenshot of Dow Jones Industrial chart taken January 15, 2020.
By ELAINE KURTENBACH, AP Business Writer

Slight gains send Dow Jones Industrial Average above 29,000!

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 29,000 points for the first time and the S&P 500 index hit its second record high in three days Wednesday.

The milestones came on a day when the market traded in a narrow range as investors weighed the latest batch of corporate earnings reports and the widely anticipated signing of an initial trade deal between the U.S. and China.

President Donald Trump and China’s chief negotiator, Liu He, signed the “Phase 1″ deal before a group of corporate executives and reporters at the White House. The pact eases some sanctions on China. In return, Beijing has agreed to step up its purchases of U.S. farm products and other goods.

“This was telegraphed well enough that the market is kind of looking through it and toward the next phase and what that means,” said Keith Buchanan, portfolio manager at Globalt Investments.

Health care stocks accounted for much of the market’s gains. Utilities and makers of household goods also rose. Those gains outweighed losses in financial stocks, companies that rely on consumer spending and the energy sector.

The S&P 500 index rose 6.14 points, or 0.2%, to 3,289.29. The index also climbed to an all-time high on Monday.

The Dow gained 90.55 points, or 0.3%, to 29,030.22. The Nasdaq composite added 7.37 points, or 0.1%, to 9,258.70.

Smaller-company stocks fared better than the rest of the market. The Russell 2000 picked up 6.66 points, or 0-4%, to 1,682.40.

The benchmark S&P 500 index is on track for its second straight weekly gain.

Bond prices rose. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 1.78% from 1.81% late Tuesday.

While limited in its scope, investors have welcomed the U.S.-China deal in hopes that it will prevent further escalation in the 18-month long trade conflict that has slowed global growth, hurt American manufacturers and weighed on the Chinese economy. The world’s two largest economies will now have to deal with more contentious trade issues as they move ahead with negotiations. And punitive tariffs will remain on about $360 billion in Chinese goods as talks continue.

With the “Phase 1” agreement now a done deal, investors have more reason to focus on the rollout of corporate earnings reports over the next few weeks. Earnings have been flat to down for the last three quarters, and if the fourth quarter meets expectations, it should be around the same.

However, analysts are projecting 2020 corporate earnings growth to jump around 9.5%, which is why traders will be listening this earnings reporting season for any clues management teams give about their business prospects in coming months.

“We’re expecting a reacceleration in the back end of the year, so any (company) guidance that brings any type of skepticism to that could threaten the recent rally we’ve had and the gains that we’ve accrued in the past few months,” Buchanan said.

Health care stocks powered much of the market’s gains Wednesday. Several health insurers climbed as investors cheered a solid fourth-quarter earnings report from UnitedHealth Group.

The nation’s largest health insurer, which covers more than 49 million people, said its revenue rose 4% on a mix of insurance premiums and growth from urgent care and surgery centers. Its stock rose 2.8%. Other health insurers also moved higher. Anthem gained 1.6%, Cigna added 1.5% and Humana climbed 1.9%.

Technology companies also rose. The sector is reliant on China for sales and supply chains and benefits from better trade relations. Microsoft gained 0.7% and Advanced Micro Devices gained 0.8%.

Utilities and consumer staples sector stocks also notched gains. Edison International climbed 2.5% and PepsiCo rose 1.7%.

Financial stocks fell the most. Bank of America slid 1.8% after reporting weaker profits due to the rapid decline of interest rates in late 2019.

Energy stocks also fell along with the price of crude oil. Valero Energy dropped 3.3%.

Homebuilders marched broadly higher on news that U.S. home loan applications surged 30.2% last week from a week earlier. The pickup in mortgage applications reflects heightened demand for homes and suggests many buyers are eager to purchase a home now, rather than waiting for the traditional late-February start of the spring homebuying season. Hovnanian Enterprises jumped 6.4%.

Target slumped 6.6% after a disappointing holiday shopping season prompted the retailer to cut its forecast for a key sales measure in the fourth quarter. The company said weak sales of electronics, toys and home goods crimped sales growth to just 1.4% in November and December.

Benchmark crude oil fell 42 cents to settle at $57.81 a barrel. Brent crude oil, the international standard, dropped 49 cents to close at $64 a barrel.

Wholesale gasoline fell 1 cent to $1.64 per gallon. Heating oil declined 3 cents to $1.88 per gallon. Natural gas fell 7 cents to $2.12 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Gold rose $9.70 to $1,552.10 per ounce, silver rose 25 cents to $17.92 per ounce and copper fell 1 cent to $2.87 per pound.

The dollar fell to 109.91 Japanese yen from 110.00 yen on Tuesday. The euro strengthened to $1.1150 from $1.1128.

Markets in Europe closed mostly lower.

AP Business Writer Damian J. Troise contributed.

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Uber and Hyundai Are Planning to Offer Flying Taxi Rides by 2023

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Hyundai/Uber Flying Taxi Source: Hyundai
By Cat Ellis

At CES 2020, Uber and Hyundai showed off a full-size mock-up of a flying taxi that both companies hope will be ferrying you above congested city streets by 2023.

The electric plane, called Uberdai, will carry a pilot and three passengers up to 60 miles, at speeds of up to 180mph, slashing journey times and helping get cars off the road. Eventually the craft will be automated, but for now the two companies are focusing on manned craft.

The flying taxi market is starting to get pretty lively. Last year, Boeing began test flights to test the safety of Boeing. Next, an electric aircraft with passenger pods designed to travel up to 50 miles, and Bell Helicopter unveiled the Bell Nexus, which the company hopes will “redefine air travel”.

The difference with Hyundai’s plane is its partnership with Uber, which is a name synonymous with ride-sharing throughout much of the world, and already has the infrastructure in place to offer flights as an option alongside trips by car, bike, scooter, helicopter and even submarine.

Ready for lift-off?

Uber has been aiming for the skies for several years now, teaming up with various aerospace companies to build a fleet of mini aircraft. At the Uber Elevate Summit in June 2019, it revealed a concept created in collaboration with Jaunt Air Mobility – a business that’s aiming to create a fully autonomous aircraft by the end of 2029.

This design was a cross between a helicopter and a plane, with a rotor to get it off the ground, and wings for gliding once airborne to conserve power.

“It’s called the compound aircraft, and what it’s doing is really trying to get the best of both worlds of hover and high-speed efficient flight,” Uber’s head of engineering Mark Moore said at the event.

Uber intends to launch its first swarm of flying cars in the US and Australia in 2023, with schemes planned for Dallas, Las Vegas and Melbourne. We’ll keep you updated as we learn more over the coming months. 

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