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After the Bull Run Comes the Bull Crash: Why Global Investors Are Abandoning U.S. Stocks

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After the Bull Run Comes the Bull Crash: Why Global Investors Are Abandoning U.S. Stocks

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The U.S. stock market is facing a dramatic shift, with global investors pulling out in record numbers. According to Bank of America’s Global Fund Manager Survey, U.S. equity allocations have suffered their steepest decline ever. This sharp reversal, dubbed a “bull crash,” reflects the growing concerns investors have over economic uncertainty. Thanks to the current uncertainty facing the market, many investors are ditching American stocks in favor of cash and gold or venturing instead to foreign markets.

The term “bull crash” refers to a rapid collapse in investor confidence during a bull market. While markets may still be at high levels, sentiment shifts so quickly that a crash occurs despite previous optimism. The current situation signals an extreme move away from risk as investors prepare for potential economic turbulence.

Why Investors Are Fleeing U.S. Stocks

Several fundamental reasons explain why institutional investors are turning away from U.S. equities. At the heart of the shift is economic uncertainty, driven by aggressive trade policies and stagnating growth. President Donald Trump’s administration has doubled down on tariff threats, creating friction with key trading partners like Canada, Mexico, and China. New tariffs set to take effect in April have fueled concerns that these policies could weaken economic growth and corporate profitability.

According to Bank of America’s survey, the March decline in U.S. stock allocations marks the most significant shift since the COVID-19 market crash in 2020. The move toward cash holdings has surged to 4.1%, its highest level in years. Historically, such a shift signals broader uncertainty, with investors seeking safer assets to weather potential market downturns.

Economic Slowdown and Global Growth Concerns

Another major factor behind the bull crash is the deteriorating outlook for global economic growth. Bank of America’s survey shows that expectations for global growth saw their second-largest drop on record. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) recently revised its growth forecast downward, citing increasing risks from trade tensions and slowing domestic demand. The U.S. economy’s growth rate has already declined from 2.3% in the last quarter of 2024 to 1.2% in early 2025.

Market analysts point to the fading idea of “U.S. exceptionalism” as a key driver of investor sentiment. Previously, American markets were seen as a stronghold of stability, but with ongoing tariff battles and weaker economic indicators, confidence is waning. Many investors are reallocating to European markets, where banks have become the preferred sector.

The Contrarian Perspective: Is the Sell-Off Overdone?

Despite the sharp downturn in sentiment, some analysts believe the extreme bearish positioning could indicate that most of the market correction has already occurred. Bank of America’s report suggests that while investor confidence has cratered, the market is not yet in a deep bear phase. Historically, steep declines in sentiment have sometimes marked a market bottom, leading to eventual rebounds.

However, others warn that the risks remain high. The S&P 500 has dropped significantly from its recent highs, with technology and consumer discretionary stocks taking the hardest hit. A broader downturn could unfold if economic conditions worsen or if tariffs escalate beyond expectations.

Will the Bull Crash Continue?

For now, global investors are opting for caution, shifting out of U.S. stocks and into safer assets. The extent of this bull crash underscores the anxiety gripping markets as trade wars and economic uncertainty continue to loom large. If the Trump administration moderates its stance on tariffs, markets could see some relief. But if tensions escalate, the flight to safety may accelerate, dragging stocks even lower.

With investor confidence at a multi-year low, the coming months will be critical in determining whether this is merely a correction or the beginning of a prolonged downturn.

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1 Comment

1 Comment

  • don says:

    The market always ( shakes it off ) no matter what happens the market comes back. Bad World or local events it doesn’t matter.

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