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Forex – Yen steady after retail sales better than expected in June



Japanese yen steady after retail sales. – The Japanese yen trended mostly steady on Wednesday despite better than expected retail sales in June as investors looked ahead to the tone of the Federal Reserve statement due later in the day.

Retail sales rose 0.9% year-on-year, far outpacing a 0.5% increase seen.

The New Zealand dollar held onto earlier gains after the central bank governor said it should be weaker consistent with the economy while adding that sharply lower interest rates are not the way to that goal.

traded at 123.58, up 0.01%, while traded at 0.6716, up 0.57%. traded at 0.7345, up 0.13%.

A weaker New Zealand dollar would be consistent with current economic conditions, Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bank Governor Graeme Wheeler said Wednesday in a speech on monetary policy, dismissing predictions for large declines in interest rates because that would be consistent with the economy moving into recession.

“Our models suggest that the real exchange rate is currently in the vicinity of its long-run equilibrium value – if growth, inflation, and the terms of trade were at their long-run trends. However, the exchange rate remains above the level consistent with current economic conditions and, in particular, the current low level of export prices,” Wheeler said in a speech delivered to ExportNZ in Tauranga, New Zealand.

The current account deficit level is expected to become larger over the next two years based on recent New Zealand dollar level and terms of trade, he said.

“At current levels of export prices, a more substantial exchange rate depreciation is therefore required to stabilise the net external liabilities position relative to GDP,” he said.

The , which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, fell 0.06% to 96.70.

Overnight, the dollar trimmed gains against most of the other major currencies on Tuesday, after data showed that U.S. consumer confidence deteriorated this month, while markets awaited the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting this week.

The Conference Board, a market research group, said its index of consumer confidence fell to 90.9 this month from a downwardly revised 99.8 in June. Economists had forecast a reading of 100.0.

A less optimistic outlook for the labor market, as well as uncertainty and volatility in financial markets prompted by the situation in Greece and China sapped investor sentiment, the report said.

Other reports earlier Tuesday showed that U.S. house price growth stalled in May, while activity in the service sector picked up this month.

Investors were looking ahead to Wednesday’s Fed statement to see if policymakers would give any indication on the timing of an initial rate hike.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said the central bank could raise rates as soon as September if the economy continues to improve as expected.

The U.S. was to release figures on second quarter growth on Thursday, which were expected to show that the economy rebounded following a contraction in the first quarter following an unusually harsh winter.

Volatility in Chinese equity markets has roiled the Aussie, because of the country’s strong trade links to China.

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