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Universal Display and other Disruptive Stocks




Universal Display Disruptive Stocks

Universal Display Corporation (UDC) is a developer and manufacturer of OLED technologies and materials as well as provider of services to the display and lighting industries. Founded in 1994, the company currently owns or has exclusive, co-exclusive or sole license rights with respect to more than 3,000 issued and pending patents worldwide for the commercialization of phosphorescent based OLEDs and also flexible, transparent and stacked OLEDs – for both display and lighting applications. Its phosphorescent OLED technologies and materials are licensed and supplied to companies such as Samsung, LG, AU Optronics CMEL, Pioneer, Panasonic Idemitsu OLED lighting and Konica Minolta. In this article, Mr Berko tells us the stock value of Universal Display as one of the game-changing disruptive stocks and tells us other disruptive stocks.

Universal Display and other Disruptive Stocks

Dear Mr. Berko:

Back in the summer of 2009, you told me to buy a company called Universal Display for my individual retirement account. The company has thousands of patents for the development of organic light-emitting diode technology, which is used in various solid-state lighting applications. It sounded good, so I bought 300 shares at $6.50 and sold it at $14 a year later. Then, in an email, I asked for another recommendation. You told me to buy Universal Display back and that you would tell me when to sell it. Eight years has gone by, and the stock is now $185 a share and is 57 percent of my IRA value. I haven’t heard a word from you, but I’m wondering whether I should keep the stock or sell it. — TR, Fort Walton Beach, Fla.

Dear TR:

You’re very welcome!

Wow — that was eons ago. However, in those eons, Universal Display Corp. (OLED-$185) — a company with zero debt, 200 employees and 47 million shares outstanding — watched its capitalization rocket from $175 million to $8.7 billion.

As you alluded to, Universal is a pioneer in the high-growth field of OLED technology. It owns 3,782 patents and has long-term contracts with some of the biggest users in the industry. Now the electronics industry is prepared to use OLED technology in smartphones, computers and numerous other products. This is a disruptive technology, meaning a product that takes root as a simple application in a new market and relentlessly moves up, eventually displacing competitors in an established market.

Think of OLED products as “constructive destruction,” in which all the old ways of building an electronic product become obsolete and are replaced by a new and superior technology. Few civilians know about Universal Display, and those who do are totally bonkers over a potential partnership with Apple, which may use OLED’s materials in 200 million-plus iPhones. And if Apple uses OLED’s materials in its iPad and other appliances (as Samsung and LG do), there could be another 100 points in Universal Display’s stock.

It seems you are getting antsy and need a change of venue. There’s an extraordinary stock that I recommended in February at $20.

It’s called Accelerate Diagnostics (AXDX-$25), and the shares scampered to $30 after my column was published. Months later, it crumbled to the $17 level. AXDX is another disruptive technology company. (Imagine the steam engine versus sailing ships, telephones versus telegrams, locomotives versus wagon trains, electric lights versus oil lamps.) It will remarkably change the way medicine is practiced throughout the world.

AXDX uses a thimble of blood, a bit of fluid from your lungs, a body tissue sample or your saliva and performs its medical magic. AXDX has a proprietary, almost science fiction, in vitro diagnostic platform using genotypic technology (your personal gene schematic) to identify infectious pathogens. Then its “Star Trek”-like phenotypic platform with DNA microarrays will determine whether or not a specific antibiotic could be an effective treatment. The AXDX system can recommend a regimen of prescriptions that should interact favorably with your specific genetic makeup. There’s no guessing, no costly or painful trial and error, no muss, fuss or bother. The analysis is completed in minutes, not days; the time of treatment is minimized; hospital stays are reduced; and the cure costs are hugely lower.

Since January, Jack Schuler, who was president of Abbott Laboratories and is a director of Stericycle, has purchased 1.6 million shares of AXDX, and he now owns 16 million of the 55 million shares outstanding. I wonder why Jack owns so many shares. Perhaps he thinks that AXDX shares will outperform OLED’s shares and do so in less time.

Therefore, I recommend that you sell 100 shares of OLED tomorrow and use the proceeds to buy 700 shares of AXDX. Then be mindful not to sell those shares when they reach $40 — or $70 or $125.

Standard & Poor’s, Market Edge, Zacks, Credit Suisse, Morgan Stanley and Argus Research don’t give a hoot for AXDX. However, the sentiment among professionals I respect is very positive. And after talking with various doctors, I know I’m very confidently bullish.

Please address your financial questions to Malcolm Berko, P.O. Box 8303, Largo, FL 33775, or email him at [email protected] To find out more about Malcolm Berko and read features by other Creators Syndicate writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate website at


Yardeni: Jobs Report Validates Stock Market Recovery, Credits PPP




Yardeni: Jobs Report Validates Stock Market Recovery, Credits PPP

Friday’s unexpectedly good jobs report showed that the country added 2.5 million jobs in May. This is just more proof that the stock market surge since March 23 is real, according to Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research.

The single largest monthly job increase on record caught him off guard. However, he credits the government’s Paycheck Protection Plan. Yardeni says it reached the goal designed for it.

“I was surprised, but with the benefit of hindsight, it kinda makes sense because we had the Paycheck Protection Program that was basically implemented in April encouraging small businesses to keep people on their payroll,” said Yardeni during a Friday appearance on CNBC. “I think what might have happened is that businesses let a lot of their employees go in March and certainly in April, and once they got approval for the PPP loan, they turned right around and called up their employees and said you are still on the payroll.”

Yardeni says the jobs report is further proof that the stock market rally since the March 23 lows is real. He also mentioned that the perceived disconnect between the stock market and the economy is overblown.

“There’s been a lot of chatter about the disconnect between the stock market doing so well and the misery we are still seeing on the health front and the economic front and social fronts. The market has been a ray of sunshine — basically investors being convinced that we’ll get out of this, we’ll solve a lot of our problems and the economy will recover along with earnings,” said Yardeni. He also said, “The economy may very well be catching up with the stock market rather than the stock market going off on its own.”

Yardeni on Economic Recovery

Yardeni said there’s an “alphabet soup of scenarios from V’s, W’s, U’s, etc.,” regarding the shape of economic recovery. He believes we will start out in a V-shaped recovery. Although, he states that it will end up looking more like the Nike swoosh. But he says good news exists. The worse the GDP becomes in the second quarter, the better the stage for a massive recovery in the third quarter.

“I think it’s going to be a V initially, real GDP could be down 40-50% in the second quarter. The worse it is in the second quarter the greater the likelihood we’ll see something like a 20% increase in the third quarter and maybe something like 5% in the fourth quarter,” said Yardeni, “So it’s going to look like a V in the second half of the year but V means you get all the way back to where you were in 2019. I don’t think that’s going to happen very quickly so maybe it’s not going to be an alphabet, maybe it’s going to be more like the Nike swoosh where you have sort of a V bottom and then you gradually start to come back.”

On Opportunities

Stocks have recovered almost all of their losses from the February bear market. With this, Yardeni had answered the question regarding where he sees opportunities today. He said that any opportunities disappear quickly, so investors need to act quickly.  “I think you look for where things have lagged. But you have to be pretty quick here because the laggards have actually had a big move just in the past week. It’s hard to give people advice when things move so quickly. I think the prospects are really quite good for technology to do well, for healthcare to do well, financials to do well. I think it’s going to be a pretty broad bull market here.”

Most importantly, Yardeni says don’t overthink things. The market has been rising, so don’t fight it, just go along for the ride.

“Go with the flow. Ever since March 23 we’ve seen a rebalancing away from bonds and into stocks, and I think that will continue to be a theme here in the financial markets for the next several months.”

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Tesla CEO Elon Musk Says Stock Price ‘Too High’ To Cap Bizarre Week




Tesla CEO Elon Musk Says Stock Price ‘Too High’ To Cap Bizarre Week

Tesla CEO Elon Musk capped an interesting week. He did so by tweeting out “Tesla stock price is too high imo (in my opinion)” Friday morning, and shares immediately fell 10%, wiping out nearly $15 billion in market cap in just a few hours.

It was the latest bizarre antic for Musk who earlier in the week cursed and called the stay-at-home order “fascism” during the Tesla earnings call, and followed that up the next day by interrupting a NASA conference call when a reporter asked NASA’s administrator about Musk’s COVID-19 comments. Musk had previously tweeted in early March “The coronavirus panic is dumb.”

Without being introduced on the call, Musk responded to the reporter “I think this is a different subject,” he said. “Wrong press conference, move on.”

Friday’s tweet about the Tesla share price came during a string of tweets on different topics and subjects. Some of those topics including lyrics to the Star-Spangled Banner. Others say he was selling all his physical possessions. Another say that his girlfriend is mad at him.

Twitter Rants

Musk started the week by tweeting “FREE AMERICA NOW” on Tuesday evening. Also, during Tesla’s earnings call on Wednesday, he said the shelter-in-place orders in California were “fascist” and that government officials should “give people back their (expletive) freedom.”

“The expansion of shelter-in-place, or as we call it, forcibly imprisoning people in their homes, against all their constitutional rights, is, in my opinion, breaking people’s freedoms in ways that are horrible and wrong, and not why people came to America and built this country,” Musk said. “What the (expletive)!”

He continued, “If somebody wants to stay in the house that’s great. They should be allowed to stay in the house and they should not be compelled to leave. But to say that they cannot leave their house and they will be arrested if they do… this is fascist. This is not democratic. This is not freedom. Give people back their (expletive) freedom.”

Thursday’s outburst during the NASA conference call was related to Musk’s tweets that seemed to downplay the severity of the coronavirus pandemic. A reporter asked NASA administrator Jim Bridenstine his thoughts on Musk’s COVID-19 comments. However, Musk, the founder of SpaceX, quickly interrupted to tell the reporter to “move on.”


Friday’s much more devastating Tweet-storm could get Musk into even more hot water with the Securities and Exchange Commission. As part of his 2018 settlement over the “taking Tesla private at $420” tweet, Musk agreed to have all his social media posts reviewed prior to publishing them.

When a Wall Street Journal reporter asked Musk if he was joking, or if he had the “Tesla stock is too high imo” tweet approved, Musk simply responded “No.”
Investors on both sides of the Tesla debate are waiting to see what action of any the SEC could bring against Musk for the tweet. Some believe the tweet was in clear violation of the 2018 settlement. Meanwhile, others say while uncommon, it’s not illegal for a company CEO to publicly discuss their company’s share price even if investors are harmed by the comments.

One thing is for sure, Musk continues to prove he’s the greatest showman alive.

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The Fed is Propping Up Bond Prices, Are Stocks Next?




The Fed is Propping Up Bond Prices, Are Stocks Next?

Last Monday the Federal Reserve announced that it would spend nearly $700 billion to buy up Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities as part of its “aggressive action” to soften the impact the coronavirus is having on our economy.

As part of the stimulus package, the Fed also said it would start buying exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the corporate bond market. For now, it appears the purchases will be limited to investment grade or highly-rated corporate bonds and won’t include more risky high-yield (or junk) bonds.

It’s the first time that the Fed has directly bought securities in an attempt to add liquidity and jump start a frozen market.

“This will provide much-needed liquidity to the bond market and to ETFs,” said Todd Rosenbluth, head of ETF and mutual fund research at CFRA.

Steve Blitz, chief U.S. economist for TS Lombard, says the Fed’s move is helping investors enter and exit a position if needed. “All of this is to make sure that people who want to sell have a buyer. The Fed is taking both sides of the market so people who need to raise cash can do so.”

It’s clear why the Fed prefers to buy corporate bonds through an ETF as opposed to buying bonds in individual companies. With one purchase order, it can impact the bond prices of hundreds of companies at once, as opposed to the time consuming task of identifying, pricing and then buying bonds of individual companies.

By moving into the ETF space and buying up bonds, the Fed may also be trying to calm a part of the market that has seen record outflows over the last few weeks. Just two weeks ago, the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF saw a $1.2 billion outflow, or roughly 8% of it’s total value.

The question becomes, if the market continues to slide as the coronavirus outbreak batters the economy, would the Fed extend its reach and start buying stocks via index ETFs?

It’s an unprecedented move, but then again so was buying bond ETF a little over a week ago.

It would allow the Fed simultaneously impact the stock price of hundreds of companies at once. With the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, the Fed could move the stock price of all S&P 500 companies with a single purchase.

The same would apply for all broad index ETFs like the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) and Nasdaq (QQQ).

Vincent Reinhart, chief economist and macro strategist at BNY Mellon Asset Management, says it could be in the Fed’s playbook.

“Other central banks have done it. It’s the ETF route that the Bank of Japan has taken. I would not rule out them doing equities.”

Lindsey Bell, chief investment strategist at Ally Invest added “We’ve seen the Fed show that they’re willing and able to do whatever it takes to make sure the markets are opening in an efficient manner. They’re taking whatever steps they can. That would be new territory for the Fed, not that they’re scared of new territory.”

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