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The Capitalist Newsletter – August 2, 2017

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WHAT TRUMP’S ADVISORS WANT THE PRESIDENT TO UNDERSTAND

Sarah Huckabee Sanders has an interestingly difficult job; specifically, she works for a knothead. This morning, NPR reported that President Trump said, “Business spirit is the highest it’s ever been, according to polls.” He continued, “If you look at the polls, (it’s) the highest it’s ever been in the history of these polls.”

But is that really the case? What do Trump’s advisors have to say about it?

Read The Capitalist’s Take Here


SPRINT CEO HINTS AT DEAL PROSPECTS; SAYS MERGER DECISION IS NEAR

Sprint Corp. said it would decide soon on whether to pursue a merger with either T-Mobile US Inc. or Charter Communications Inc., with an announcement coming “in the near future,” according to the wireless carrier’s chief executive.

“We’ve had sufficient conversations with several parties and soon we’re going to start making decisions,” Sprint CEO Marcelo Claure said on a call Tuesday after the company reported results for the three months ending June 30.

Read More at MarketWatch Here

Read More at Reuters Here

Read More at Fortune Here


HBO LATEST HACK VICTIM; UPCOMING GAME OF THRONES DATA, SHOWS, MAY BE LEAKED

HBO has joined the ranks of Hollywood entertainment companies to suffer a major cyber attack.

EW has learned that upcoming episodes of a couple series and at least one alleged script or treatment have been put online by hackers who breached the company’s systems — with more threatened to be coming soon.

“HBO recently experienced a cyber incident, which resulted in the compromise of proprietary information,” the network confirmed in a statement. “We immediately began investigating the incident and are working with law enforcement and outside cybersecurity firms. Data protection is a top priority at HBO, and we take seriously our responsibility to protect the data we hold.”

Read More at Entertainment Weekly Here

Read More at Variety Here

Read More at CNN MoneyHere


Closing Bell

– Tuesday, August 1st

Markets Soar UP as Wall Street Cheers Strong Earnings

Big Insider Trades

– Guidewire Software, Inc. (GWRE) CEO Marcus Ryu Sells $1.8m

– Discovery Communications, Inc. (DISCA) CFO Gunnar Wiedenfels Buys $460k

Winners & Losers

– CombiMatrix Corp. (CBMX) Soars UP (42.42%) After Entering into Agreement to be Acquired for $33 Million

– Kona Grill, Inc. (KONA) Tumbles DOWN (26.42%) After Major Earnings Miss

Most Talked About

CytRX Corp. (CYTR) Considered a Near Unanimous Strong Buy on Licensing Deal Agreement with NantCell

The TIP Sheets

– Tuesday, August 1st

– Shopify, Inc. (SHOP) Shoots UP (12.68%) to Record High After Crossing 500k Merchants. With Revenue Growing 75% Year over Year, Expect Shares to Continue UP

Unusual Volume

Under Armour, Inc. (UA) Slides DOWN (10.38%) on 24m Shares Traded to Record Low After Retailer Cuts 2% of its Workforce, Trims 2017 Sales Outlook. UA Also Announced a Restructuring Plan. Expect Shares to Continue DOWN

 

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Economy

Morgan Stanley Sees a V-Shaped Global Recovery

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Morgan Stanley experts are looking at complete recovery by the end of year, and are confident that the economy will be back at pre-coronavirus levels by the fourth quarter. The firm noted three reasons why the recession will short-lived: 

  1. Huge imbalances did cause an endogenous shock 
  2. Deleveraging pressures will be more moderate
  3. Policy support has been decisive, sizable and will be effective in boosting the recovery

In the US, more economists are seeing a V-shaped recovery in the making, instead of the previous thought W or U shaped models. They noted recent positive announcements from the federal government including the generation of an additional 2.5 million non-farm jobs, and the low interest rates from the Federal Reserve. 

Analysts expect most countries to post negative GDPs in the second quarter and strongly rebound in the third towards full recovery by the fourth. Even if the timetable for the coronavirus vaccine remains uncertain, they foresee that recurring outbreaks can be more controlled and managed compared to earlier this year.

Watch this video to see more of Morgan Stanley’s forecast of the V-Shaped Global Recovery.

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Business

The Rise of the Retail Investor: How Ordinary Folk Are Beating Wall Street at Their Own Game

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rise retail investor

Mom-and-pop investors are outperforming Wall Street old-timers, but what is the real reason why? Somehow, stocks bought by the so-called “dumb money” investors generate 61% returns compared to stock picks of mutual fund and hedge fund managers, who are returning a lower rate of 45%. 

A new breed of retail investors is on the rise, buoyed by the “things-are-looking-up”reports last May that foresaw a rebound in the market and an end in sight for the coronavirus-led lockdowns. In addition, the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates to zero and near-zero levels since March in order to help protect the economy from the effects of COVID-19.

According to Goldman Sachs, retail investors were able to pull off their victory because they were quicker to acquire high value stocks as the market rally started gaining ground. By May, these investors began shifting to cyclicals, small capital stocks, and economically sensitive stocks, who all warmed up to the positive outlook.  

Apart from the lockdown and unemployment induced environment that led to an increase in retail investors, the stock feeding frenzy was seen as a reaction to the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s movements to keep the markets healthy by the time recession hits. The lowering of the Fed interest rates to 0 – 0.25 is an indication that money will be available at least until 2022.  

Some of the stocks that benefited from the outpouring of investments from retail traders include Penn National Gaming, Royal Carribbean, Norwegian Cruise Lines, Apple, Facebook, Nvidia, Snap, GM, Ford, Tesla, MGM Resorts, and Groupon. They also include some questionable buys such as Hertz, which has previously filed for bankruptcy but has been allowed to issue stocks. 

It has been noted that the surge of retail investors were an offshoot of factors: the popularity of minimum amount trades, the Robinhood no-commission trading app, and the general lack of activity among people recently unemployed and those forced to stay home during the lockdown. 

 

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Newsletters

The Capitalist Newsletter – August 1, 2017

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A LOOK INTO A TRADING ANOMALY SHOWS INSIGHT INTO WHAT’S READY TO CHANGE

Earnings are here, and there’s an unusual phenomenon occurring. You’ll discover exactly what that is in Guy Cohen’s video today. A few weeks ago, Guy mentioned hesitation about the nature of this earnings cycle, and so far he’s been proven right.

If you’ve been around Guy for any length of time, you’ll notice that sometimes he’s super confident. And sometimes he’s more cautious.

And in this earnings cycle, caution has been key right from the start, even though Guy always has high expectations. And while the markets have trundled up during the first half of this earnings cycle, there is an unusual phenomenon that makes Guy a lot more cautious. As you spend more time with Guy, you’ll also pick up on these things and discover your instincts for the markets improve.

That’s also because you’ll start looking at very distinctive behaviour that is a direct indication of supply and demand in the markets at the leveraged level of activity … i.e where the serious risk-takers are operating …

Watch Today’s OVI Market Review – Unusual Behaviour Means Something Will Have to Give Take Here…


TRUMP OUSTS SCARAMUCCI AS WHITE HOUSE COMMUNICATIONS DIRECTOR AFTER JUST 10 DAYS

President Trump’s headline-grabbing communications director Anthony Scaramucci was shown the door Monday after just 11 days on the job – as retired Gen. John Kelly took command of the White House staff, moving swiftly to impose order on a West Wing gripped for weeks by infighting.

White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders would not confirm reports that Kelly personally requested Scaramucci’s removal — but she made clear that the former Homeland Security secretary now has full control of the staff.

Read More at FOX News Here

Read More at Politico Here

Read More at NY Times Here


IN WAKE OF ‘SHAM ELECTION’, U.S. SANCTIONS VENEZUELAN PRESIDENT MADURO; FREEZES ASSETS

Just one day after a nationwide vote to consolidate Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro’s hold on power, the U.S. Treasury Department has leveled a new round of sanctions against the regime — this time against Maduro himself.

“All assets of Nicolas Maduro subject to U.S. jurisdiction are frozen,” the department announced in a statement Monday, “and U.S. persons are prohibited from dealing with him.”

The move, which marks only the fourth time the U.S. has imposed economic sanctions on a sitting head of state…

Read More at NPR Here

Read More at CNBC Here

Read More at CNN Money Here


Closing Bell

– Monday, July 31st

Markets See Mixed Finish as Tech Selloff Continues

Big Insider Trades

– DuPont Fabros Technology, Inc. (DFT)CFO Jeffrey Foster Sells $4m

– Crown Castle International Corp. (CCI) Director Martin Landis Buys $3m

Winners & Losers

– Dynavax Technologies Corp. (DVAX) Soars UP (71.35%) After FDA Panel Greenlights Hepatitis B Vaccine

– Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ) Crashes DOWN (21.16%) After Analyst Downgrade Points Out Numerous Industry Challenges

The TIP Sheets

– Monday, July 31st

– Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. (OCUL) Discovery Communications Tumbles DOWN (9.30%) After Acquiring Scripps Networks Interactive. However, Many Analysts Predict the Move is a Safe Bet and Call the Combination “a Natural”. Expect Shares to Bounce Back UP

Unusual Volume

Altria Group, Inc. (MO) Slips DOWN (2.94%) on 28m Shares Traded After Friday’s FDA Announcement Regarding Plans to Cut Nicotine Levels in Cigarettes to Non-Addictive Levels. Expect Shares to Continue DOWN

 

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