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The Capitalist Newsletter – December 23, 2016

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TRUMP TAPS CHINA CRITIC NAVARRO TO HEAD NEW WHITE HOUSE NATIONAL TRADE COUNCIL


On Wednesday, President-Elect Donald Trump announced the creation of a new advisory board; The White House National Trade Council. Trump also announced his pick for head of the new council; Peter Navarro, economist author of “Death by China”. Tapping Navarro as head of the new NTC sends a not-so-subtle message to China. But how much power will Navarro really have?

Read The Capitalist’s Take Here

Read More at New York Times

Read More at Wall Street Journal


U.S. SUES BARCLAYS OVER ALLEGED MORTGAGE SECURITIES FRAUD

The Department of Justice sued British banking giant Barclays plc and several of its U.S. affiliates Thursday for allegedly deceiving investors who were sold mortgage securities in the years leading to the financial crisis. Barclays representatives repeatedly misrepresented the investment quality of residential mortgage-backed securities they sold to investors from 2005-2007, the lawsuit charged. As a result, investors from around the world who bought the securities suffered billions of dollars in losses, DOJ officials charged.

Read More at USA Today Here

Read More at Reuters Here

Read More at ABC News Here


UBER’S SELF DRIVING CARS PROJECT FORCED TO LEAVE SAN FRAN; MOVES TO ARIZONA

Just one day after Uber was forced to shut down its self-driving car program in San Francisco, the company is moving its cars to Phoenix, the company said on Thursday. “Our cars departed for Arizona this morning by truck,” an Uber spokesperson said in a statement of the fleet of modified Volvo XC90 cars. “We’ll be expanding our self-driving pilot there in the next few weeks, and we’re excited to have the support of Governor Ducey.”

Read More at Fortune Here

Read More at The Verge Here

Read More at CNET Here


Closing Bell

– Thursday, December 22nd

Markets Edge Lower in Quiet Session as Holidays

Big Insider Trades

– ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) Director Frederic Luddy Sells $7.3m

-Gran Tierra Energy, Inc. (GTE) Director Ronald Royal Buys $350k

Winners & Losers

– Sunoco LP (SUN) Jumps UP (12.66%) After Blackrock Advisors Substantially Increases Stake in the Company

– OvaScience, Inc. (OVAS) Plummets DOWN (54.88%) Amid Layoffs, Abrupt Departures of Top Executives

Most Talked About

Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) a Unanimous Strong Buy After Profit Beat Sends Shares to Record High

The TIP Sheets

– Thursday, December 22nd

– Red Hat Inc. (RHT) Slips DOWN (13.85%) Despite Strong Earnings After Revenue Hiccups and CFO Departure. Expect Shares to Continue DOWN

Unusual Volume

– Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) Jumps UP (12.68%) on 85.6m Shares Traded After “Eye Popping” Q2 Guidance. The Memory Chip Maker’s Fiscal Q1 Earnings Were Significantly Better Than Expected. Look For Shares to Continue UP

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Economy

Morgan Stanley Sees a V-Shaped Global Recovery

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Morgan Stanley experts are looking at complete recovery by the end of year, and are confident that the economy will be back at pre-coronavirus levels by the fourth quarter. The firm noted three reasons why the recession will short-lived: 

  1. Huge imbalances did cause an endogenous shock 
  2. Deleveraging pressures will be more moderate
  3. Policy support has been decisive, sizable and will be effective in boosting the recovery

In the US, more economists are seeing a V-shaped recovery in the making, instead of the previous thought W or U shaped models. They noted recent positive announcements from the federal government including the generation of an additional 2.5 million non-farm jobs, and the low interest rates from the Federal Reserve. 

Analysts expect most countries to post negative GDPs in the second quarter and strongly rebound in the third towards full recovery by the fourth. Even if the timetable for the coronavirus vaccine remains uncertain, they foresee that recurring outbreaks can be more controlled and managed compared to earlier this year.

Watch this video to see more of Morgan Stanley’s forecast of the V-Shaped Global Recovery.

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Business

The Rise of the Retail Investor: How Ordinary Folk Are Beating Wall Street at Their Own Game

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rise retail investor

Mom-and-pop investors are outperforming Wall Street old-timers, but what is the real reason why? Somehow, stocks bought by the so-called “dumb money” investors generate 61% returns compared to stock picks of mutual fund and hedge fund managers, who are returning a lower rate of 45%. 

A new breed of retail investors is on the rise, buoyed by the “things-are-looking-up”reports last May that foresaw a rebound in the market and an end in sight for the coronavirus-led lockdowns. In addition, the Federal Reserve has kept interest rates to zero and near-zero levels since March in order to help protect the economy from the effects of COVID-19.

According to Goldman Sachs, retail investors were able to pull off their victory because they were quicker to acquire high value stocks as the market rally started gaining ground. By May, these investors began shifting to cyclicals, small capital stocks, and economically sensitive stocks, who all warmed up to the positive outlook.  

Apart from the lockdown and unemployment induced environment that led to an increase in retail investors, the stock feeding frenzy was seen as a reaction to the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s movements to keep the markets healthy by the time recession hits. The lowering of the Fed interest rates to 0 – 0.25 is an indication that money will be available at least until 2022.  

Some of the stocks that benefited from the outpouring of investments from retail traders include Penn National Gaming, Royal Carribbean, Norwegian Cruise Lines, Apple, Facebook, Nvidia, Snap, GM, Ford, Tesla, MGM Resorts, and Groupon. They also include some questionable buys such as Hertz, which has previously filed for bankruptcy but has been allowed to issue stocks. 

It has been noted that the surge of retail investors were an offshoot of factors: the popularity of minimum amount trades, the Robinhood no-commission trading app, and the general lack of activity among people recently unemployed and those forced to stay home during the lockdown. 

 

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Newsletters

The Capitalist Newsletter – August 2, 2017

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WHAT TRUMP’S ADVISORS WANT THE PRESIDENT TO UNDERSTAND

Sarah Huckabee Sanders has an interestingly difficult job; specifically, she works for a knothead. This morning, NPR reported that President Trump said, “Business spirit is the highest it’s ever been, according to polls.” He continued, “If you look at the polls, (it’s) the highest it’s ever been in the history of these polls.”

But is that really the case? What do Trump’s advisors have to say about it?

Read The Capitalist’s Take Here


SPRINT CEO HINTS AT DEAL PROSPECTS; SAYS MERGER DECISION IS NEAR

Sprint Corp. said it would decide soon on whether to pursue a merger with either T-Mobile US Inc. or Charter Communications Inc., with an announcement coming “in the near future,” according to the wireless carrier’s chief executive.

“We’ve had sufficient conversations with several parties and soon we’re going to start making decisions,” Sprint CEO Marcelo Claure said on a call Tuesday after the company reported results for the three months ending June 30.

Read More at MarketWatch Here

Read More at Reuters Here

Read More at Fortune Here


HBO LATEST HACK VICTIM; UPCOMING GAME OF THRONES DATA, SHOWS, MAY BE LEAKED

HBO has joined the ranks of Hollywood entertainment companies to suffer a major cyber attack.

EW has learned that upcoming episodes of a couple series and at least one alleged script or treatment have been put online by hackers who breached the company’s systems — with more threatened to be coming soon.

“HBO recently experienced a cyber incident, which resulted in the compromise of proprietary information,” the network confirmed in a statement. “We immediately began investigating the incident and are working with law enforcement and outside cybersecurity firms. Data protection is a top priority at HBO, and we take seriously our responsibility to protect the data we hold.”

Read More at Entertainment Weekly Here

Read More at Variety Here

Read More at CNN MoneyHere


Closing Bell

– Tuesday, August 1st

Markets Soar UP as Wall Street Cheers Strong Earnings

Big Insider Trades

– Guidewire Software, Inc. (GWRE) CEO Marcus Ryu Sells $1.8m

– Discovery Communications, Inc. (DISCA) CFO Gunnar Wiedenfels Buys $460k

Winners & Losers

– CombiMatrix Corp. (CBMX) Soars UP (42.42%) After Entering into Agreement to be Acquired for $33 Million

– Kona Grill, Inc. (KONA) Tumbles DOWN (26.42%) After Major Earnings Miss

Most Talked About

CytRX Corp. (CYTR) Considered a Near Unanimous Strong Buy on Licensing Deal Agreement with NantCell

The TIP Sheets

– Tuesday, August 1st

– Shopify, Inc. (SHOP) Shoots UP (12.68%) to Record High After Crossing 500k Merchants. With Revenue Growing 75% Year over Year, Expect Shares to Continue UP

Unusual Volume

Under Armour, Inc. (UA) Slides DOWN (10.38%) on 24m Shares Traded to Record Low After Retailer Cuts 2% of its Workforce, Trims 2017 Sales Outlook. UA Also Announced a Restructuring Plan. Expect Shares to Continue DOWN

 

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